More people are realizing that beyond the hype, the cloud can be a real game changer. But how that effects each tier of the software stack I think is up for some debate. Deciphering the future path development is something of a mystic art, of which I will attempt to partake.

I think it was apparent to any one who attended Google IO 2010 that google was really pushing the idea of the browser as a platform. This is a different take on the browser than most of the developers I have daily interaction with. Most of the developers I know don’t want the browser to be the platform of the future mainly because of the browser compatibility issues. First its the Works in Firefox but not in Internet Explorer then there are the performance issues, network and JavaScript based and I’ve heard more of my fair share of DOM hate . Having worked with the browser most developers are left with a very sour taste in their mouth and groan loudly when ever some one states the browser is the platform of the future!

So why is Google betting on the browser? Even at a time when most couldn’t imagine the browser providing a truly interactive experience Google Maps made its debut and changed everything. But Google has a problem, The browser as a platform can be a very hostile development environment. So it’s no surprise Google IO 2010 sessions were flooded with ways to make rich client side applications on the browser simple and less hostile. Google’s prize fighter in this effort is GWT. The GWT compiler abstracts away the browser specific issues improves the performance of the client side application and encourages code reuse between client and server. GWT attempts to allow developers focus on the application experience without all the browser specific worries that are usually associated with complex rich browser applications.

This shift from avoiding client side development to adopting it as the primary development strategy has some interesting consequences. First is the movement of the presentation layer from the server side to the client side. Because of this, the HTML template engine is no longer be useful to modern browser developers. Also, Ajax moves from being a cute way of creating the appearance of an interactive application to the primary way an application retrieves data from the web head. In this new paradigm the web head becomes what is essentially an RPC service. To any one that is paying attention this shift has huge implications for web frameworks like ruby on rails, that have built their framework around server side templates and easy creation of restful web services. What this means is that the bulk of the application is no longer on the server side, but on the client side. This is a big win for scalability as the web head has less to keep track of and is freed to be more stateless, which is just what you want if you want to scale your web application to millions of users. One last thing this paradigm shift means; SOA gains much more relevance in the web application space. A rich client consuming (REST based) web services is a match made in heaven for SOA.

In the cloud space PaaS is probably the most under estimated and un-interesting to most early adopters of cloud. Most major customers of cloud services are more interested in figuring out how their current software platforms can utilize the cloud than develop applications targeting the cloud platform. The fear for cloud adopters is of vendor lock-in. If you develop applications for Google App engine then you decide you want to use some other cloud vendor, your stuck. You have developed your application for Google’s PaaS; and it’s not exactly transferable to other cloud vendors or for that matter on premise. This issue alone is the biggest detractor to PaaS. Cloud vendors are just not seeing a lot of traction in the PaaS space, and I think this is the primary reason.

What we need is a PaaS independent platform developers can target which will work no matter what cloud vendor you choose. The Good news is Google recognizes the PaaS issue and is hoping to capitalize on the success of the Java standards in the cloud. In the Google IO 2010 Key note they announced a partnership with VMware to deliver an open development platform that all cloud vendors could implement and allow developers to target a vendor neutral PaaS.

This could be huge, as this vendor neutral development platform could bring more companies to the cloud and truly change the way we look at hardware from a development standpoint. No longer are we worried about how our application will scale within the hardware infrastructure. Developers will be free to focus on the client side user experiences and web services on the server side should just scale as needed thanks to the cloud. One button deployment to a production system can truly be a reality lifting a huge burden off change and release and developers in general.

How PaaS could do this may be the subject of a future post. But for now, I think its safe to say PaaS has a big future ahead of it.